keep the rates high or maybe even raise the rates again during the fourth quarter. Bond yields
spiked during the quarter. The month of November held the best bond market return in over 30
years.
The equity sleeve of the Capital Market performance was negative pretty much across the board
with no place to hide. YTD growth outperformed value. Big Tech stocks tethered to AI have
emerged as market leaders and have become a bigger representation of the S&P 500 as well as a
bigger weight of the Russell 1000 growth. Large cap growth has outperformed small and
medium cap growth. The thinking is that higher borrowing costs impacted smaller companies
who can't pass off costs to their consumers. The third quarter had a very concentrated narrow
market. S&P Real Assets were down about 2.6 % for the quarter. The energy sector was a bright
spot for the quarter.
The portfolio performance for the quarter was down 3.8% net and the benchmark was down
3.4%. The YTD (January through September) was up 4.2% net vs 3.8% benchmark. One year
was up 11.1% net vs 10.8% benchmark.
There are two active Core Plus managers and Black Rock was brought in as an unconstrained
manager. Black Rock has done a great job in a volatile interest rate environment. Although the
trend may be towards a lower interest rate Mr. Rowlins still believes Black Rock has a role in
the portfolio going forward.
Met West has been placed on watch status given the announcement of some portfolio manager
changes. Although Met West has been delivering on performance there were some significant
changes announced that warrant elevation to a watch status. Neuberger Berman is on discuss
status because of the role that Judy Vale, CFA is playing at the firm on a go forward basis. Most
likely NB will be taken off a discuss status next quarter.
Chairman Rodolico asked at what point does FA do re-allocations? Mr. Rowlins answered that
there are mid and max ranges to keep the portfolio aligned and when the ranges edge close to
4-5% from the target then there will be a re-balancing recommendation/effort.
November Flash -
- After a difficult third quarter, November brought a good print on inflation and signs that the
labor market is strong although weakening a bit which is good from the lens of the Federal
Reserve because it means less wage pressure.
- The economy is fairly strong and there was lessening of student debt. Fixed income was
positive across the board and it improved the YTD numbers. Big numbers in Global equities
such as seen in the S&P. NASDAQ which is a tech heavy benchmark was up 37% YTD.
- Also, some good performance for Small Cap Companies at 8.9% for the month of December,
which is three times higher than the S&P 500.
- International markets were higher. The dollar weakened a bit and interest rates came down
across the board.
- There was some weakness in emerging markets particularly China. Both China and Multi